I'm trying to find correlations in my database (www.DraftCasual.com) for 'Sleeper' draft picks. I think this prototype (I had Austin Reaves in mind) query is more geared towards 'Combo Guard/Wing' has been netting positive result:

Filter by Percentiles (computed per 40 per Draft Class)

- Hedge Year over Year Stat inflation (www.DraftCasual.com)

- Query for past 8 drafts: PG,SG,SF

1. Playmaking(70th+) - Formula involves Assist Per 40 and Assist %
2. TS%(70th+)
3. Mid Made (70th+)

For PGs

- Player returned for this 2025 draft: Walter Clayton Jr.

https://preview.redd.it/v9gj5yze7fme1.png?width=1053&format=png&auto=webp&s=15fab85d3ca944dc91b0a6809e8327c3818cf8c3

For SGs/SFs

- Player returned for this 2025 draft: Nique Clifford, Cedric Coward

https://preview.redd.it/22nqfnf69fme1.png?width=1113&format=png&auto=webp&s=3e6c666b5ceab215a1fa3a4ce9d2cbcd072708d7

Some really interesting names like Jalen Williams, NAW, Podziemski, Nembhard, Brunson who out performed their draft spot.